Wednesday, November 03, 2004

No Repeat of 2000

Frank takes the words right out of my mouth. Unlike the other JFK, there's no chance of his pulling off a ballot fraud to put him in the White House.

The Iowa markets were showing a very low probability, even last night of a Kerry victory. It looks like they've vindicated the Efficient Market Hypothesis yet again.

Given the margin of victory Bush enjoys in the ballots cast and the added legitimacy of a majority of the votes cast, I can't see that Kerry has any more hope of capturing Ohio than Saddam Hussein does.

Having been playing Eeyore for the last two weeks, I'm in a much better mood this morning, both because of the Bush victory and two other good pieces of news from last night, which will be revealed later.